Wisconsin Primary Results

[Tom Joad]

Originally Posted by Boreas

I don't know that at all and neither do you. Hillary loses support with every new primary. The only things she has on her side right now are time and 469 SuperDelegates. If she loses New York - and she very well could - it's a whole new ballgame and a possible repeat of 2008.



It'll be Al Franken.

Tell you what, Robbin. Ill bet you a nickel that the next polling for the New York primary will show Hillary with a single digit lead.

And we know what happens when the polls show her with a narrow and narrowing lead. It's 12% now. It was 21% a month ago.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...mary-4221.html

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...mary-5321.html

The national polls are getting very close.

The RCP avergae has her down to just a 6 point lead nationally.

And all of those are pre-Wisconsin.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...tion-3824.html

[Rajoo]

Originally Posted by icenine

Hillary is going to lose California John?


you know that won't happen.

If I was Hillary I would pick Castro just about now....

Good to see that you are talking about Hillary not losing rather than winning.

[Boreas]

Originally Posted by Tom Joad

The national polls are getting very close.

The RCP avergae has her down to just a 6 point lead nationally.

And all of those are pre-Wisconsin.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...tion-3824.html

If you take the RCP average and eliminate the extremes (Bernie
+2 and Hillary +18) you get an average of Hillary +4.75.

Eliminating the extremes is always a good idea when doing this sort of calculation but RCP never does. Because they don't, the previous average for New York had an Emerson poll showing Clinton up by 48%, more than twice the percentage of the next highest poll.