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  #31  
Old 11-09-2016, 01:12 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by nailer View Post
Libertarians voting Democrat? Give me a break. You're assumptions and supporting analysis are flawed. Check out my response to your similar claim in Grumpy's thread for a reality check.
Assigning blame and guilt cleansing is the intent here, not logic or analysis.
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  #32  
Old 11-09-2016, 01:16 PM
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Do you see me claiming it was likely for libertarians to vote for Hillary?

Is it your claim that all the Johnson voters are libertarians?

I stand by the claims I have actually made, which do not include any probability estimates of votes changing. Though it raises an interesting notion. What if presidential elections were, say, a best of seven series?
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  #33  
Old 11-09-2016, 01:26 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by donquixote99 View Post
Bullshit? You're a bit quick on the trigger there, Dondi. Let's look at the data:



In table, first three columns are the vote % received, by Clinton, Trump, and all others together. Fourth column is trump's margin of victory over Clinton. If column 3 exceeds column 4, column 5 shows the number of electoral votes potentially flipped if enough 'other' votes had gone to Clinton instead.

Make of it what you will. Mainly, I think this shows that Hillary was not an awful candidate, she was a competitive candidate. But she was ultimately defeated by her own negatives driving votes to third party candidates.

I stand by my claim that if all who didn't want Trump had voted for Hillary, we wouldn't have Trump.
The notion that all, or a majority even, of the other candidate votes would have gone to Hillary had it been only her and Trump on the ballot is patently absurd. If that had been the case here I believe I would have left the Presidential block blank.
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Last edited by Tom Joad; 11-09-2016 at 01:28 PM.
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  #34  
Old 11-09-2016, 01:28 PM
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Man oh man. Someone needs to keep sharp objects far away from Don today.
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  #35  
Old 11-09-2016, 01:35 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Tom Joad View Post
The notion that all, or a majority even, of the other candidate votes would have gone to Hillary had it been only her and Trump on the ballot is patently absurd. If that had been the case here I believe I would have left the Presidential block blank.
I missed that assumption. Absurd is a good description.
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  #36  
Old 11-09-2016, 01:45 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by whell View Post
Man oh man. Someone needs to keep sharp objects far away from Don today.
Oh, no worries, unless you were planning on dropping over. But in that case, you'd better add blunt objects to the list.
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  #37  
Old 11-09-2016, 01:47 PM
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Simply put, the voters rejected a Clinton dynasty like the Bush dynasty was rejected in the primaries.
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  #38  
Old 11-09-2016, 02:12 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rajoo View Post
Simply put, the voters rejected a Clinton dynasty like the Bush dynasty was rejected in the primaries.
So far I've seen the Hillary people point their blame fingers just about everywhere except the right place.

Not one of them will admit that Bernie should have been the nominee.

I hope with time they figure it out.
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  #39  
Old 11-09-2016, 02:17 PM
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You see what you want to see, like most people.
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  #40  
Old 11-09-2016, 02:35 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by donquixote99 View Post
You see what you want to see, like most people.
I am just a poor boy.
Though my story's seldom told,
I have squandered my resistance
For a pocketful of mumbles,
Such are promises
All lies and jest
Still, a man hears what he wants to hear
And disregards the rest.
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