Nate Silver's 538 Blog - Primary Forecasts

[bobabode]

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/...na-democratic/

Interesting stuff.

[Zeke]

Concur: most interesting.

You've hooked me on a new site.

[Rajoo]

Originally Posted by Zeke

Concur: most interesting.

You've hooked me on a new site.

Probably funded by the DNC.
I am tired of picking on Bob, so it's your turn Zeke.

[Zeke]

Originally Posted by BeamOn

Probably funded by the DNC.
I am tired of picking on Bob, so it's your turn Zeke.

The barrel looks cozy from the inside.

[bobabode]

Originally Posted by BeamOn

Probably funded by the DNC.
I am tired of picking on Bob, so it's your turn Zeke.

I've got three older brothers and they been trying that shit on me for six decades.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xGE4dnrPPZQ

[68custom]

538 blog is pretty accurate, at least it was in 12.

[Tom Joad]

Originally Posted by bobabode

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/...na-democratic/

Interesting stuff.

According to this Clinton is projected to win today 67-29.

That's 38 points.

So if Bernie beats the spread I'm going to spin it as a win for him.

[Tom Joad]

Originally Posted by 68custom

538 blog is pretty accurate, at least it was in 12.

So far he's sucking pretty bad as it pertains to Trump, but then so are all the prognosticators.

[Boreas]

My prediction is he'll definitely beat the spread and by a lot. He may even cut it in half. If he does, it will signal a turning point, IMO, and Hillary's fortunes will begin to fade.

In South Carolina, the Democratic vote has historically been the Black vote. That has been one of Hillary's strengths but now the Millennials are entering the picture and they break strongly for Bernie. There's also the "super-predator" remark. That will definitely cost Hillary some votes.

[bobabode]

Originally Posted by Zeke

Concur: most interesting.

You've hooked me on a new site.

The new Oracle of Delphi The kid does his homework.

I understand he started as a sports prognosticator.